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November 2008 Archives

The following is an excerpt from a conversation I had with Captain Dan Robertson who is the Head of Pilot Recruitment with Atlantic Southeast Airlines (ASA). Captain Robertson has held the position of Chief Pilot with ASA in addition to his position in the Recruiting Department, and lately has been speaking with pilots across the country about the impending pilot shortage that most experts agree is coming in the relatively near future. ATP’s Airline Career Pilot Program trains students from a Private Pilot to Multi-engine Instructor with Commercial ratings in as little as ninety days, which is the most direct path to an airline job possible. In addition to that, in today’s competitive airline hiring environment, these ATP Career Pilot Program graduates also have the skills and ratings to then instruct and build the quality flight experience necessary to compete for and earn their wings as an airline pilot. There is some lead time associated even with this accelerated path to the airlines and as such, Dan also speaks to the need for young aviators in this country to begin flight training now to be ready to take advantage of the future hiring needs of the airlines.

Dan, is ASA presently interviewing applicants for pilot positions with ASA?

Although we were hiring through May 5th of this year, ASA has presently met our pilot hiring needs for 2008 due to the slowdown in the economy and capacity cuts by Delta.

Does ASA have any pilots on furlough?

No, we have not furloughed any pilots at all.

With the present slowdown in hiring it may seem as if it will be more competitive in the future to someone training to become an airline pilot, what would you say to them?

When hiring begins again, hopefully in late 2009, we will select the most suitable applicant from our hiring pool and qualified applicants. We have developed a rating point system where applicants receive extra points for the total time, multi-engine time, CFI. CFII, MEI, jet time, turbo-prop time and advanced jet training. Our goal will be to hire the most suitable candidate so encourage your students to continue to obtain additional ratings and experience.

Airlines were all hiring in the not too distant past, but now they have slowed down. You have been in aviation for a long time and have seen this before. What would you say to a person who is considering a career in aviation?

We are currently in one of the industry cycles caused by a poor economy; however, encourage your students to not be discouraged as this time too shall pass. In fact, I predict another pilot shortage within two years of the time the major airlines start another hiring spree.

Aviators who train in the Airline Career Pilot Program with ATP will have most of the requirements you mention above when they graduate from the ACPP, as well as have positioned themselves to train other pilots while they build valuable flight experience. Will this make them suitable candidates for interviews at ASA when hiring begins again at ASA?

We have hired a tremendous number of ATP trained pilots over the years and look forward to interviewing your students when our hiring resumes. Let me know if there is anything I can do to encourage young aviators as the career of an airline pilot is one of the most rewarding in the world.

Boeing Predicts Pilot Shortage

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Boeing predicts that an average of 3200 pilots are needed per year to meed demand for aircraft already on order in the US by 2025.

Both Pinnacle Airline and Colgan Airlines have seen a 3.9% increase in passenger volume in October as compared to October of last year.

American Eagle continues to expand service in Florida using their EMB-140 Regional Jets.

ExpressJet President and CEO says that demand for regional air service continues to climb.

Manufacturers of regional aircraft experienced another robust year in 2007 as orders for larger RJs more than made up for the lack of sales for 50-seat RJs. The transition to 70/90-seat jets meant plenty of business for Bombardier and Embraer, while soaring fuel costs helped push sales of ATR 42/72 and Q400 turboprops to record levels. Anxious to enter the regional jet market within the next 12-24 months are new aircraft from Sukhoi of Russia and AVIC of China, while Mitsubishi of Japan plans to have its 70/90-seat Mitsubishi Regional Jet in service in 2013.

Inreased Demand for Regional Jets Means More Pilots are Needed

There has never been a better time to position yourself for starting an airline pilot career with the Regional Airlines. Experts like Kit Darby, founder and president of AIR, Inc., show that historically pilots hired right after a hiring downturn are in a great position. Those on the front of the next hiring wave will have the advantage of seniority over many pilots hired after them. This additional seniority has advantages, like less time on reserve, and faster captain upgrades.

All of ATP’s airline partners have told us that they expect to return to hiring in 2009. Some are announcing that they will begin as soon as January. We have already begun to see this as over 30 graduates of ATP's Regional Jet Course have been hired by Regional Airlines in the last 60 days. Please take a look at ATP's Airline Hiring & Placements Page to see which Airlines are hiring these graduates now. Also see the training environment you will enjoy while training with ATP.

During this period of reduced demand, ATP has lowered the price of the RJ Course from $6,995 to $4,995. Anyone scheduled for a future class date will receive the price reduction also, even if they scheduled at the higher price.

Also, look out for a future announcement that ATP will offer a free “RJ Refresher” program for graduates who go longer than 6 months without getting a job. More details will be available soon on ATP's website.

ExpressJet has final approval on agreements with all four of its labor groups, saving itself approximitly $35 million in labor costs. It is expected to generate a profit in the last quarter of 2008 as a result.

ExpressJet Reaches Labor Accords

The problems that plunged US Airlines into turbulent times are disappearing from the radar screen and being left in the wake of 2008. A return to profitability is in the course being steered towards in 2009 by the implementation of actions successfully taken in the final two quarters of 2008.

Delta Airlines has reassigned 14 NextGen Regional Jets from Freedom to Mesaba Airlines which operates as Northwest Airlink for the new Uber Airline composed of Delta and the former Northwest Airlines. The move adds to the number of RJs taken from Freedom and reassigned to Northwest Airlink carriers reportedly due to Freedom's failure to meet contractual performance standards in an effort by Delta to improve service.

Welcome aboard Mesaba Airlines 

Republic Airlines will begin flying four of their ERJ-170s on trans-island routes in Hawaii under a code share agreement with Mokulele Airlines early in 2009. Republic has been aggresively and succesfully expanding their code sharing agreements in the US on several fronts.

Republic says Aloha

Memphis-based Pinnacle Airlines turned a $7.7 million profit in the third-quarter of 2008. Pinnacle provides lift for Delta Airlines and Northwest Airlines and will continue to do so for the newly merged duo who will operate as Delta Airlines. 

Pinnacle Airlines is Profitable

US regional airline industry may benefit from a new presidential administration, but the difficult operating and economic environment will continue to pose problems, speakers said yesterday at the SpeedNews Regional & Business Aviation Industry Suppliers Conference in Indian Wells, Calif.

Regional Airline Assn. VP-Legislative Affairs Faye Malarkey said the body is hopeful that Barack Obama's incoming administration will be a catalyst for needed legislative relief. She said Obama has stated publicly that air traffic control modernization is a "high priority," although a potential drawback to the new administration might be a greater willingness to side with unions in labor disputes. Nevertheless, she said new leadership will "change the landscape of some of the political discussions. I can't imagine the new DOT could be any worse than the old DOT." She called the department's effort to relieve congestion at New York area airports by imposing slot auctions "insane" and expressed hope that Congress will block them in any impending economic stimulus legislation.

Airline Industry Update

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Kit Darby from Air Inc. Discusses the Past, Present and Future of the Airline Industry

Hear from industry expert Kit Darby. He discusses the cyclical downturn that we are experiencing and the fact that we’ve seen this before and know hiring will return. He also stresses that this is the time to begin flight training so that prospective pilots will be qualified to enter the market when hiring increases in the near future.

Airline Industry Update with Kit Darby
Click Here to View Full Video

American Eagle, Pinnacle Airlines and Mesaba Airlines were in attendance recently at Job Fare in Chicago looking for recruits. They reported that:

American Eagle will begin interviewing and hiring pilots beginning in the first quarter of 2009.

Pinnacle Airlines will begin hiring again in early 2009.

Mesaba Airlines is hiring now and will continue to do so into 2009.

Over 30 graduates of ATP's Programs have been hired by the Regional airlines and Corporate Operaters over the last 60 days despite economic conditions in the US.

Hired by Regional Airlines!

Republic Airways will provide an $8 million line of credit to Mokulele Airlines and place four of its Embraer 170s with the Hawaiian carrier in November. The intra-island Mokulele will operate the 70-seat regional jets using crew from the Indiana-based regional. It will also hire some workers who were laid off when Aloha Airlines shut in April. Mokulele now flies Cessna Caravans. The Embraers, assigned to Republic subsidiary Shuttle America, had been flown for Frontier Airlines.

U.S. regional carrier Republic Airways will extend its reach beyond simply operating flights for US Airways and will loan them up to $35 million.

Republic Airlines Lends to US Airways

Air Wisconsin became the second Regional Airline to loan $35 million dollars to US Airways this month. Air Wisconsin operates as US Airways Express and flies the largest fleet of planes deployed by US Airways.

Air Wisconsin Lends to US Airways 

It's not just the CRJ or the ERJ that you may be flying when you get that dream job with a US regional airline. The Chinese are entering the market here in the US to compete with Bombardier and Embraer for business with their ARJ21 which looks like a dream to fly. With their first 200 ARJs scheduled for delivery here in the US we should see them soon. Mitsubishi (Japan) and Sukhoi (Russia) are also developing RJs designed to compete with the CRJ700/900 and the ERJ 170/190 in the US and abroad.

Chinese Win First Overseas Regional Jet Order



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